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Primera Nacional

Aug. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste L W W W W W
Atlanta L W L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atlanta Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 March 28, 2026
Atlanta Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 1 August 23, 2025
Ferro Carril Oeste Atlanta 0 - 1 April 23, 2025
Atlanta Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 1 September 24, 2023
Ferro Carril Oeste Atlanta 2 - 0 May 14, 2023
Ferro Carril Oeste Atlanta 1 - 0 June 15, 2022

Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away San Miguel 0 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home San Telmo 2 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Deportivo Moron 1 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Acassuso 2 - 1 Win

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 27, 26 Home Almagro 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Colegiales 1 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Quilmes 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Almagro 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Midland 1 - 2 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 22 13 4 5 25 18 +7 43
5 Atlanta 20 11 3 6 25 15 +10 36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ferro Carril Oeste to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ferro Carril Oeste has a 38.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.23 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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