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Primera Nacional

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste W W L L W W
Atletico Mitre D W W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atletico Mitre Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 April 19, 2026
Ferro Carril Oeste Atletico Mitre 3 - 0 September 4, 2023
Atletico Mitre Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 2 April 23, 2023
Atletico Mitre Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 1 March 19, 2022
Atletico Mitre Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 March 1, 2020
Ferro Carril Oeste Atletico Mitre 0 - 0 September 8, 2019

Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Atlanta 3 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Los Andes 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away San Miguel 0 - 1 Win

Atletico Mitre Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Defensores De Belgrano 2 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 0 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Almirante Brown 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 3 - 0 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 25 15 4 6 31 23 +8 49
25 Atletico Mitre 25 6 11 8 25 29 -4 29

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
This prediction indicates that Ferro Carril Oeste has a 49.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.28 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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