First Division logo

First Division

Aug. 21, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Treaty United Cork City
Treaty United W L W W W D
Cork City W W L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cork City Treaty United 4 - 0 June 19, 2026
Treaty United Cork City 0 - 1 May 25, 2026
Cork City Treaty United 1 - 0 February 13, 2026
Cork City Treaty United 2 - 1 January 18, 2025
Cork City Treaty United 1 - 1 October 4, 2024
Treaty United Cork City 1 - 1 August 2, 2024

Treaty United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away UCD 1 - 2 Win
Jul 31, 26 Home Longford Town 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Athlone Town 2 - 1 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away Finn Harps 0 - 1 Win
Jul 3, 26 Home Kerry 2 - 1 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away Wexford 0 - 0 Draw

Cork City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Home Athlone Town 3 - 2 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Finn Harps 0 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away UCD 5 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Cardiff 1 - 6 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Longford Town 3 - 4 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 0 - 1 Win

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cork City 25 18 3 4 51 20 +31 57
9 Treaty United 25 6 8 11 24 36 -12 26

Predictions

Cork City to win
This prediction indicates that Cork City has a 57.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.77 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]