First Division
Match Analysis
Kerry
UCD
Kerry
W
W
W
D
L
W
UCD
L
D
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | Kerry | 0 - 1 | June 19, 2026 |
| Kerry | UCD | 1 - 1 | April 10, 2026 |
| UCD | Kerry | 2 - 1 | February 13, 2026 |
| UCD | Kerry | 2 - 1 | September 19, 2025 |
| Kerry | UCD | 0 - 3 | July 25, 2025 |
| UCD | Kerry | 0 - 1 | May 2, 2025 |
Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Cobh Ramblers | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Bray Wanderers | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Finn Harps | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Wexford | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Treaty United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Longford Town | 2 - 1 | Win |
UCD Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Treaty United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Athlone Town | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Cork City | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Bray Wanderers | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Longford Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Cobh Ramblers | 2 - 0 | Win |
First Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UCD | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 29 | +12 | 40 |
| 6 | Kerry | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that both Kerry and UCD will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Kerry or UCD to win
This prediction indicates that UCD has a 39.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.87 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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