First Division
Match Analysis
Finn Harps
Kerry
Finn Harps
W
L
L
L
L
L
Kerry
L
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry | Finn Harps | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| Finn Harps | Kerry | 1 - 0 | May 8, 2026 |
| Kerry | Finn Harps | 1 - 0 | March 20, 2026 |
| Finn Harps | Kerry | 1 - 1 | October 13, 2025 |
| Kerry | Finn Harps | 0 - 1 | August 8, 2025 |
| Finn Harps | Kerry | 4 - 2 | April 18, 2025 |
Finn Harps Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Wexford | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Athlone Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | UCD | 5 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Cobh Ramblers | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Bray Wanderers | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Longford Town | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Bray Wanderers | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Longford Town | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Treaty United | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | UCD | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cork City | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Cobh Ramblers | 3 - 0 | Win |
First Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kerry | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 36 | +3 | 42 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.85% likelihood that both Finn Harps and Kerry will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Kerry to win
This prediction indicates that Kerry has a 52.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.17 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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