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First Division

Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Finn Harps Longford Town
Finn Harps L L L L L L
Longford Town D W L W W L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Longford Town Finn Harps 5 - 0 August 3, 2026
Finn Harps Longford Town 2 - 2 May 22, 2026
Longford Town Finn Harps 0 - 1 March 28, 2026
Longford Town Finn Harps 1 - 1 September 5, 2025
Finn Harps Longford Town 0 - 0 July 4, 2025
Longford Town Finn Harps 0 - 0 May 17, 2025

Finn Harps Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away UCD 5 - 4 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Away Longford Town 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Cork City 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Kerry 2 - 1 Loss

Longford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 4 - 2 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Athlone Town 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Finn Harps 5 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Treaty United 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Wexford 1 - 2 Loss

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Longford Town 28 11 7 10 39 36 +3 40
10 Finn Harps 28 5 7 16 22 56 -34 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.04% likelihood that both Finn Harps and Longford Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Longford Town to win
This prediction indicates that Longford Town has a 57.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.31 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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