Fiorentina vs Gubbio Wednesday 22nd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Fiorentina Gubbio

Fiorentina D W D L D D

Gubbio L W D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Home	Atalanta	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Juventus	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Genoa	0 - 0	Draw
May 4, 26	Away	AS Roma	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Sassuolo	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 20, 26	Away	Lecce	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 3, 26	Away	Pineto	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Pineto	2 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Torres	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Pianese	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	Livorno	3 - 0	Loss
Mar 29, 26	Home	Ravenna	0 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fiorentina has a 69.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.49 %

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