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Virsliga
FK Liepaja logo FK Liepaja
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
BFC Daugavpils logo BFC Daugavpils

Match Analysis

FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja W L W W W L
BFC Daugavpils L D W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja 3 - 1 July 4, 2026
FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 May 17, 2026
BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja 2 - 0 April 3, 2026
BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja 1 - 2 November 2, 2025
FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 August 9, 2025
FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 June 13, 2025

FK Liepaja Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Home Riga 3 - 2 Win
Aug 25, 26 Away Auda 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home Grobiņa 3 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Super Nova 1 - 2 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Tukums 2 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Away Austria Vienna 3 - 1 Loss

BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Grobiņa 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Super Nova 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Tukums 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home FS Jelgava 2 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Auda 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away Ogre United 0 - 4 Win

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 BFC Daugavpils 28 10 7 11 33 32 +1 37
5 FK Liepaja 27 11 4 12 35 40 -5 37

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that both FK Liepaja and BFC Daugavpils will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FK Liepaja to win
This prediction indicates that FK Liepaja has a 43.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.82 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Virsliga

FS Jelgava vs Super Nova 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Tukums vs Ogre United 9 hours from now · 3 p.m. ›