Virsliga
Match Analysis
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
L
L
W
L
L
W
Super Nova
L
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | FS Jelgava | 1 - 5 | June 25, 2026 |
| FS Jelgava | Super Nova | 1 - 0 | May 6, 2026 |
| Super Nova | FS Jelgava | 1 - 1 | March 15, 2026 |
| Super Nova | FS Jelgava | 1 - 1 | October 4, 2025 |
| FS Jelgava | Super Nova | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2025 |
| Super Nova | FS Jelgava | 0 - 0 | May 21, 2025 |
FS Jelgava Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | BFC Daugavpils | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Rīgas FS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Riga | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
Super Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FS Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 28 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FS Jelgava to win
This prediction indicates that FS Jelgava has a 45.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.54 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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