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Premier League

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay Okzhetpes
FK Tobol Kostanay W L W D L L
Okzhetpes W W D D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Okzhetpes FK Tobol Kostanay 2 - 1 June 21, 2026
FK Tobol Kostanay Okzhetpes 2 - 1 July 13, 2025
Okzhetpes FK Tobol Kostanay 0 - 1 April 5, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay Okzhetpes 2 - 0 July 23, 2023
Okzhetpes FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 2 May 28, 2023
Okzhetpes FK Tobol Kostanay 0 - 2 November 24, 2020

FK Tobol Kostanay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Altay 3 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Kyzyl-Zhar 2 - 0 Win
May 28, 26 Away Atyrau 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Ordabasy 0 - 3 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Kaisar 2 - 1 Loss

Okzhetpes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Kairat Almaty 1 - 3 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home FK Tobol Kostanay 2 - 1 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Zhetysu 2 - 2 Draw
May 28, 26 Home Aktobe 2 - 2 Draw
May 22, 26 Away Altay 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home FC Astana 1 - 0 Win

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Okzhetpes 15 8 6 1 23 14 +9 30
14 FK Tobol Kostanay 14 3 3 8 13 22 -9 12

Predictions

Okzhetpes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Okzhetpes has a 37.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.88 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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