Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
L
W
W
L
L
D
Atlético Ottawa
W
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Ottawa | Forge | 2 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Forge | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 0 | April 4, 2026 |
| Forge | Atlético Ottawa | 1 - 2 | October 26, 2025 |
| Atlético Ottawa | Forge | 1 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| Forge | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 0 | August 17, 2025 |
| Atlético Ottawa | Forge | 1 - 1 | July 12, 2025 |
Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Supra du Quebec | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Vancouver FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Atlético Ottawa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | York United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Vancouver FC | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | HFX Wanderers FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Vancouver FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | +16 | 41 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 30 |
Predictions
Forge to win
This prediction indicates that Forge has a 52.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.92 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments