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Virsliga

June 17, 2026 1 week, 5 days ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

FS Jelgava Ogre United
FS Jelgava D D D L D D
Ogre United L L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ogre United FS Jelgava 0 - 1 April 27, 2026

FS Jelgava Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Auda 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 Draw
May 26, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Away Rīgas FS 4 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Riga 2 - 2 Draw
May 11, 26 Away Grobiņa 0 - 0 Draw

Ogre United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Riga 1 - 4 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Auda 2 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Grobiņa 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Super Nova 3 - 1 Loss
May 12, 26 Away FK Liepaja 4 - 1 Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 FS Jelgava 17 3 7 7 13 31 -18 16
10 Ogre United 17 0 4 13 14 42 -28 4

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
FS Jelgava to win
This prediction indicates that FS Jelgava has a 58.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.63 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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