FS Jelgava vs Ogre United Wednesday 17th June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

FS Jelgava Ogre United

FS Jelgava D D D L D D

Ogre United L L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ogre United	FS Jelgava	0 - 1	April 27, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Auda	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	4 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Riga	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	Riga	1 - 4	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Auda	2 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Grobiņa	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Super Nova	3 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	4 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	FS Jelgava	17	3	7	7	13	31	-18	16
10	Ogre United	17	0	4	13	14	42	-28	4

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FS Jelgava has a 58.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.63 %

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