Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata Saturday 17th October 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

J2 League

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Fujieda MYFC View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 19 hours ago

0 – 0

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Montedio Yamagata View team ›

Match Analysis

Fujieda MYFC Montedio Yamagata

Fujieda MYFC L D D L D L

Montedio Yamagata L L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Fujieda MYFC and Montedio Yamagata are both coming off poor recent performances, making this a tough match to call. Despite Montedio Yamagata's history of dominating recent head-to-head games with many goals scored, the model sees the teams as closely matched in overall quality and notes that both sides have similar rest before this encounter. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is a relatively close call given the teams' similar standing. The model also believes there’s an even chance both teams will score (50% probability), suggesting a potentially open and competitive match.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Montedio Yamagata	Fujieda MYFC	3 - 3	Emperor Cup	August 26, 2026
Montedio Yamagata	Fujieda MYFC	2 - 1	J2 League	November 29, 2025
Fujieda MYFC	Montedio Yamagata	2 - 1	J2 League	May 31, 2025
Fujieda MYFC	Montedio Yamagata	0 - 1	J2 League	August 24, 2024
Montedio Yamagata	Fujieda MYFC	0 - 1	J2 League	March 20, 2024
Fujieda MYFC	Montedio Yamagata	1 - 2	J2 League	August 5, 2023

Fujieda MYFC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Sagan Tosu	J2 League	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Home	Shonan Bellmare	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	Oita Trinita	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 23, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	Emperor Cup	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Omiya Ardija	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	J2 League	3 - 2	Loss

Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Vegalta Sendai	J2 League	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Oita Trinita	J2 League	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Sagan Tosu	J2 League	2 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Kataller Toyama	J2 League	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Albirex Niigata	J2 League	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Ventforet Kofu	J2 League	1 - 2	Loss

J2 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Fujieda MYFC	30	10	14	6	36	29	+7	44
18	Montedio Yamagata	30	10	3	17	32	36	-4	33

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	31	19	9	3	+28	66
2	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	31	19	7	5	+24	64
3	Kataller Toyama	31	16	10	5	+23	58
4	Albirex Niigata	31	15	9	7	0	54
5	Omiya Ardija	31	15	7	9	+20	52
6	Yokohama FC	31	15	6	10	+15	51
7	Tokushima Vortis	31	15	5	11	+16	50
8	Blaublitz Akita	31	14	7	10	+7	49
9	Shonan Bellmare	31	12	11	8	+7	47
10	Sagan Tosu	31	13	8	10	+7	47
11	Fujieda MYFC	31	10	15	6	+7	45
12	Ventforet Kofu	30	13	4	13	-3	43
13	Oita Trinita	31	11	9	11	+8	42
14	Consadole Sapporo	31	12	6	13	-2	42
15	Iwaki	30	11	7	12	-2	40
16	Jubilo Iwata	31	9	10	12	-8	37
17	Montedio Yamagata	31	10	4	17	-4	34
18	Tochigi City	31	9	7	15	-12	34
19	Kagoshima United	20	9	6	5	+10	33
20	FC Gifu	20	9	4	7	-1	31
21	Imabari	31	8	7	16	-13	31
22	Sagamihara	20	8	6	6	+1	30
23	Vanraure Hachinohe	31	7	9	15	-16	30
24	Kochi United	20	8	5	7	+1	29
25	Roasso Kumamoto	20	9	2	9	-2	29
26	Ehime FC	20	8	3	9	+5	27
27	Renofa Yamaguchi	20	7	6	7	+1	27
28	Gainare Tottori	20	7	6	7	-2	27
29	Matsumoto Yamaga	20	6	7	7	+8	25
30	Kanazawa	20	6	7	7	-5	25
31	Nara Club	20	6	5	9	-7	23
32	Thespakusatsu Gunma	20	6	4	10	-14	22
33	Kamatamare Sanuki	20	6	4	10	-16	22
34	Biwako Shiga	20	6	3	11	-15	21
35	Fukushima United	20	5	5	10	-12	20
36	Osaka	20	3	10	7	-3	19
37	Tochigi SC	20	4	7	9	-5	19
38	FC Ryukyu	20	3	8	9	-11	17
39	Kitakyushu	20	4	4	12	-17	16
40	Parceiro Nagano	20	3	7	10	-18	16

Predictions

Fujieda MYFC to win

This prediction indicates that Fujieda MYFC has a 45.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.89 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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