Fátima vs Vinhais Sunday 20th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Fátima Vinhais

Fátima W L L L L L

Vinhais L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Benfica Castelo Branco	3 - 1	Win
Sep 20, 25	Away	Caldas	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 25	Home	Amora	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 25	Away	O Elvas	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 25	Home	Lusitano Évora 1911	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 25	Away	Amora	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 26	Away	Tirsense	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Maria da Fonte	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 21, 25	Away	Ançã	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 8, 24	Away	Vianense	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 22	Home	Vianense	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 25, 21	Home	Nacional	0 - 3	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fátima has a 45.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.34 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply