Gateshead vs Stafford Rangers Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

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Gateshead View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 9 hours ago

1 – 1

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Stafford Rangers View team ›

Match Analysis

Gateshead Stafford Rangers

Gateshead L L L L L L

Stafford Rangers W D W W D L

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Gateshead's recent form has been poor, while Stafford Rangers arrive with strong recent performance and a rest advantage. Stafford Rangers have also shown strong attacking form and created many more shooting chances lately, whereas Gateshead has struggled defensively. Despite Gateshead holding a modest quality edge, the model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, which is slightly more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and more than two goals in the match.

Gateshead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	FC Halifax Town	National League	4 - 1	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Home	Worthing	National League	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 29, 26	Home	Altrincham	National League	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Away	Wealdstone	National League	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Southend	National League	1 - 6	Loss
Sep 16, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	National League	1 - 0	Loss

Stafford Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 6, 26	Away	Halesowen Town	FA Cup	1 - 2	Win
Oct 3, 26	Home	Halesowen Town	FA Cup	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Home	Hereford	FA Cup	3 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Northampton ON Chenecks	FA Cup	3 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	Friendlies Clubs	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Home	Lutterworth Town	FA Cup	0 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.15% likelihood that both Gateshead and Stafford Rangers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Gateshead to win

This prediction indicates that Gateshead has a 43.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.55 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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