gefle IF vs Piteå Sunday 11th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Ettan - Norra

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gefle IF View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 1 week ago

3 – 3

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Piteå View team ›

Match Analysis

gefle IF Piteå

gefle IF L L W L W L

Piteå D W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Gefle IF has a modest quality edge over Piteå, which influences the prediction. The model predicts a home win with a 49% probability, which is slightly lower than what the market odds imply for Gefle IF. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score (55%) and that more than one goal will be scored in the game (53%), both of which align reasonably well with the market odds.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Piteå	gefle IF	0 - 2	Ettan - Norra	August 1, 2026
gefle IF	Piteå	1 - 0	Ettan - Norra	November 7, 2021
Piteå	gefle IF	2 - 0	Ettan - Norra	August 5, 2021

gefle IF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Enköping	Ettan - Norra	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 26	Home	Vasalund	Ettan - Norra	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	AFC Eskilstuna	Ettan - Norra	0 - 1	Win
Sep 16, 26	Home	Arlanda	Ettan - Norra	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Järfälla	Ettan - Norra	3 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Sollentuna	Ettan - Norra	1 - 0	Loss

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	IF Karlstad	Ettan - Norra	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Away	Assyriska FF	Ettan - Norra	1 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	Järfälla	Ettan - Norra	3 - 1	Win
Sep 16, 26	Home	Umeå FC	Ettan - Norra	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	AFC Eskilstuna	Ettan - Norra	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Karlberg	Ettan - Norra	3 - 0	Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	gefle IF	25	9	3	13	29	43	-14	30
14	Piteå	25	5	7	13	30	46	-16	22

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	+42	61
2	Arlanda	27	14	6	7	+13	48
3	Enköping	27	15	3	9	+1	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	+11	47
5	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	+7	46
6	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	+25	45
7	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	+15	44
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	-6	35
10	Karlberg	27	9	6	12	-10	33
11	gefle IF	27	9	5	13	-14	32
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	-16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	-9	27
14	Piteå	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	Järfälla	27	6	4	17	-21	22
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	-21	15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.55% likelihood that both gefle IF and Piteå will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

gefle IF to win

This prediction indicates that gefle IF has a 48.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.52 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

gefle IF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Ettan - Norra Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

gefle IF to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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