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Victoria NPL

July 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Green Gully Dandenong City
Green Gully L W W L L D
Dandenong City L D W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dandenong City Green Gully 2 - 1 April 17, 2026
Dandenong City Green Gully 0 - 0 June 13, 2025
Green Gully Dandenong City 0 - 5 March 7, 2025
Green Gully Dandenong City 2 - 3 July 6, 2024
Dandenong City Green Gully 1 - 1 April 5, 2024
Dandenong City Green Gully 1 - 4 June 11, 2022

Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Home Altona Magic 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 3 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away South Melbourne 1 - 2 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Hume City 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Avondale 0 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 0 - 0 Draw

Dandenong City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Home South Melbourne 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Hume City 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Home Avondale 3 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Heidelberg United 4 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Melbourne City II 0 - 1 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Dandenong City 19 7 5 7 26 25 +1 26
14 Green Gully 19 2 4 13 13 39 -26 10

Predictions

Dandenong City to win
This prediction indicates that Dandenong City has a 53.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.39 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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