Gremio vs Corinthians Saturday 30th May 2026 11:30 PM football predictions.

Gremio Corinthians

Gremio D W W D L W

Corinthians L W D L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Corinthians	Gremio	2 - 0	November 2, 2025
Gremio	Corinthians	1 - 1	June 12, 2025
Gremio	Corinthians	0 - 3	December 8, 2024
Corinthians	Gremio	2 - 2	July 25, 2024
Gremio	Corinthians	0 - 1	November 12, 2023
Corinthians	Gremio	4 - 4	September 19, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Santos	3 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Palestino	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Bahia	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Flamengo	0 - 1	Loss
May 5, 26	Away	Deportivo Riestra	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Home	Platense	0 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Penarol	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Botafogo	3 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Sao Paulo	3 - 2	Win
May 7, 26	Away	Santa Fe	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Gremio	17	5	6	6	19	20	-1	21
15	Corinthians	17	5	6	6	15	18	-3	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Corinthians has a 33.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.06 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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