Gremio vs Fluminense Monday 27th July 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Gremio Fluminense

Gremio L L W L D W

Fluminense W W D W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fluminense	Gremio	2 - 1	January 28, 2026
Gremio	Fluminense	1 - 2	December 3, 2025
Fluminense	Gremio	1 - 0	August 3, 2025
Fluminense	Gremio	2 - 2	November 2, 2024
Fluminense	Gremio	2 - 1	August 20, 2024
Gremio	Fluminense	2 - 1	August 13, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Cascavel	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Corinthians	1 - 3	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Santos	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Bahia	2 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Nova Iguaçu	6 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	Real Esppor Club	3 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Mirassol	1 - 0	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	Bolívar	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Fluminense	17	9	3	5	27	22	+5	30
16	Gremio	18	5	6	7	20	23	-3	21

This prediction indicates that Fluminense has a 44.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.03 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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