Serie A
Match Analysis
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
L
L
W
L
W
L
Sao Paulo
L
L
W
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | Gremio | 2 - 0 | February 12, 2026 |
| Gremio | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | October 16, 2025 |
| Sao Paulo | Gremio | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Gremio | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | December 1, 2024 |
| Sao Paulo | Gremio | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2024 |
| Sao Paulo | Gremio | 3 - 0 | October 21, 2023 |
Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Bolívar | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Mirassol | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Cruzeiro | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Cascavel | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Corinthians | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Sao Paulo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | remo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 26, 26 | Home | Boston River | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Fluminense | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gremio to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Gremio has a 37.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.64 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments