Grom Nowy Staw vs Concordia Elbląg Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Grom Nowy Staw Concordia Elbląg

Concordia Elbląg W W D L W W

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 17, 24	Home	Stolem Gniewino	2 - 1	Win
Feb 25, 23	Home	Bałtyk Gdynia	4 - 1	Win
Feb 11, 23	Away	Sokół Ostróda	2 - 2	Draw
Feb 2, 23	Away	Olimpia Elbląg	5 - 0	Loss
Jan 28, 23	Away	Starogard Gdański	1 - 3	Win
Jan 28, 23	Home	Starogard Gdański	3 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Grom Nowy Staw has a 43.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.46 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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