Guangxi Hengchen vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring Sunday 26th July 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Guangxi Hengchen Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Guangxi Hengchen W W L D D D

Heilongjiang Lava Spring L D L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Guangxi Hengchen	2 - 1	March 14, 2026

Guangxi Hengchen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	3 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Changchun Yatai	1 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Shandong Luneng	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Shenzhen Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Dongguan United	3 - 3	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Nantong Zhiyun	0 - 0	Draw

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Meizhou Kejia	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Dongguan United	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Shanghai Zetian	4 - 2	Loss

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Guangxi Hengchen	13	6	4	3	19	13	+6	22
11	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	13	3	7	3	18	21	-3	16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.02% likelihood that both Guangxi Hengchen and Heilongjiang Lava Spring will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Guangxi Hengchen to win

This prediction indicates that Guangxi Hengchen has a 51.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.52 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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