Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Guarda
Chaves
Guarda
W
L
W
Chaves
L
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Guarda Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Académico do Fundão | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Sep 22, 24 | Home | Leixoes | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 24 | Home | Estarreja | 5 - 4 | Win |
Chaves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | AVS | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sporting CP B | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Academica | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Guimaraes B | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Guarda to win
This prediction indicates that Guarda has a 45.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.14 %Most Likely Scorelines
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