Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
L
D
D
W
D
W
Emelec
L
L
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a draw between Guayaquil City FC and Emelec with a 38% probability. The match is seen as quite even in overall quality, though Emelec have been in poorer recent form. Past encounters between these teams have often finished level and tended to be low-scoring, aligning with the model's view that goals may be scarce. The model's confidence in a draw is somewhat lower than what the current market odds imply, which slightly favor Emelec.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | Guayaquil City FC | 1 - 3 | April 18, 2026 |
| Guayaquil City FC | Emelec | 0 - 0 | November 4, 2023 |
| Emelec | Guayaquil City FC | 0 - 0 | May 30, 2023 |
| Emelec | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 0 | February 12, 2023 |
| Guayaquil City FC | Emelec | 0 - 0 | July 24, 2022 |
| Emelec | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 2 | March 5, 2022 |
Guayaquil City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Macara | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Universidad Catolica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Leones del Norte | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Manta FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Delfin SC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Emelec Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Aucas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Mushuc Runa SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Independiente del Valle | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Orense SC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Barcelona SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guayaquil City FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Emelec | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 28 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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