Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Guimaraes
Nacional
Guimaraes
L
W
D
W
W
W
Nacional
L
D
D
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | May 16, 2026 |
| Guimaraes | Nacional | 2 - 1 | January 2, 2026 |
| Nacional | Guimaraes | 1 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Guimaraes | Nacional | 2 - 2 | December 23, 2024 |
| Nacional | Guimaraes | 1 - 0 | April 26, 2021 |
| Guimaraes | Nacional | 3 - 1 | January 21, 2021 |
Guimaraes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Arouca | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Chaves | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Academica | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Penafiel | 5 - 0 | Win |
Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Estrela | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Leganes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Tondela | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Leixoes | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Machico | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Guimaraes to win
This prediction indicates that Guimaraes has a 60.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.40 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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