Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad Sunday 18th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Ettan - Norra

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Hammarby Talang View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 10 hours ago VS

IF Karlstad View team ›

Match Analysis

Hammarby Talang IF Karlstad

Hammarby Talang L L W L D W

IF Karlstad W D D D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The prediction sees Hammarby Talang as having a modest quality edge over IF Karlstad, despite their own poor recent form and IF Karlstad's moderate recent form. Historically, Hammarby Talang has dominated their meetings, which may play into their favor. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is close to but slightly less confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than one or two goals in the match, aligning reasonably with the market view on these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang	0 - 2	Ettan - Norra	May 2, 2026
IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang	1 - 2	Ettan - Norra	November 9, 2025
Hammarby Talang	IF Karlstad	3 - 1	Ettan - Norra	June 14, 2025
Hammarby Talang	IF Karlstad	1 - 1	Ettan - Norra	September 14, 2024
IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang	2 - 0	Ettan - Norra	April 1, 2024
Hammarby Talang	IF Karlstad	1 - 1	Ettan - Norra	August 12, 2023

Hammarby Talang Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Enköping	Ettan - Norra	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 4, 26	Away	Umeå FC	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 25, 26	Home	Stocksund	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Win
Sep 21, 26	Away	Arlanda	Ettan - Norra	4 - 2	Loss
Sep 17, 26	Away	Vasalund	Ettan - Norra	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Sollentuna	Ettan - Norra	1 - 0	Win

IF Karlstad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Arlanda	Ettan - Norra	3 - 0	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Piteå	Ettan - Norra	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Home	Karlberg	Ettan - Norra	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Away	Enköping	Ettan - Norra	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 16, 26	Home	FBK Karlstad	Ettan - Norra	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Stocksund	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	51	26	+25	45
6	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	40	25	+15	44

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	+42	61
2	Arlanda	27	14	6	7	+13	48
3	Enköping	27	15	3	9	+1	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	+11	47
5	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	+7	46
6	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	+25	45
7	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	+15	44
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	-6	35
10	Karlberg	27	9	6	12	-10	33
11	gefle IF	27	9	5	13	-14	32
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	-16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	-9	27
14	Piteå	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	Järfälla	27	6	4	17	-21	22
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	-21	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that both Hammarby Talang and IF Karlstad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hammarby Talang to win

This prediction indicates that Hammarby Talang has a 48.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.68 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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