Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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FA Cup

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Harborough Town logo Harborough Town View team ›
Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 9 hours ago
3 – 1
Full Time
Spennymoor Town logo Spennymoor Town View team ›

Match Analysis

Harborough Town Spennymoor Town
Harborough Town W W L W D L
Spennymoor Town L W D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Harborough Town is seen as the stronger side heading into this FA Cup match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and stronger recent form compared to Spennymoor Town. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting Harborough Town's recent attacking strength, and these outcomes also align with, or are slightly more confident than, the market odds.

Harborough Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Southport National League - North 1 - 0 Win
Oct 3, 26 Home St Albans City FA Cup 3 - 2 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Macclesfield National League - North 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Home Rushall Olympic FA Cup 1 - 0 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home AFC Telford United National League - North 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 8, 26 Home Hereford National League - North 0 - 3 Loss

Spennymoor Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away Brackley Town National League - North 2 - 1 Loss
Oct 3, 26 Home Chester FA Cup 4 - 1 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Southport National League - North 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Away AFC Emley FA Cup 0 - 4 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Macclesfield National League - North 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 8, 26 Home Spalding United National League - North 1 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.96% likelihood that both Harborough Town and Spennymoor Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Harborough Town to win
This prediction indicates that Harborough Town has a 51.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.94 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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