Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Saturday 26th September 2026 02:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
USL Championship logo

USL Championship
Hartford Athletic logo Hartford Athletic
Sept. 26, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
Louisville City logo Louisville City

Match Analysis

Hartford Athletic Louisville City
Hartford Athletic D W W W D L
Louisville City D D L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Louisville City Hartford Athletic 1 - 0 July 5, 2026
Louisville City Hartford Athletic 1 - 0 October 25, 2025
Hartford Athletic Louisville City 1 - 1 May 17, 2025
Hartford Athletic Louisville City 2 - 1 August 24, 2024
Louisville City Hartford Athletic 6 - 0 April 27, 2024
Louisville City Hartford Athletic 1 - 1 October 7, 2023

Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Detroit City 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 2, 26 Away Charleston Battery 1 - 2 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 3 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Miami FC 2 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Indy Eleven 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Loudoun United 2 - 0 Loss

Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Rhode Island 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Home Detroit City 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Indy Eleven 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Orange County SC 2 - 3 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home San Antonio 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away Tampa Bay Rowdies 5 - 4 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Louisville City 23 9 6 8 38 37 +1 33
14 Hartford Athletic 22 7 10 5 21 22 -1 31

Predictions

Hartford Athletic or Louisville City to win
This prediction indicates that Hartford Athletic has a 37.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.79 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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