Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz Tuesday 28th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian Sturm Graz

Heart Of Midlothian L L W D W W

Sturm Graz W W D L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Heart Of Midlothian Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Livingston	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Falkirk	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Motherwell	1 - 1	Draw
May 4, 26	Home	Rangers	2 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Hibernian	1 - 2	Win

Sturm Graz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Kalsdorf	4 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	FK Košice	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Home	LNZ Cherkasy	2 - 6	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Mura	5 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Rapid Vienna	2 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.75% likelihood that both Heart Of Midlothian and Sturm Graz will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Heart Of Midlothian to win

This prediction indicates that Heart Of Midlothian has a 52.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.05 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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