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A Lyga

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen Banga
Hegelmann Litauen L L L W L L
Banga W L W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Banga Hegelmann Litauen 2 - 0 June 28, 2026
Banga Hegelmann Litauen 2 - 1 April 26, 2026
Hegelmann Litauen Banga 0 - 2 February 22, 2026
Hegelmann Litauen Banga 0 - 0 October 5, 2025
Banga Hegelmann Litauen 0 - 1 August 13, 2025
Hegelmann Litauen Banga 2 - 0 May 31, 2025

Hegelmann Litauen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home TransINVEST Vilnius 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Home FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Šiauliai 0 - 2 Win
Jul 20, 26 Away Suduva Marijampole 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 16, 26 Away Paide 3 - 0 Loss

Banga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away Šiauliai 1 - 3 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away Džiugas Telšiai 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away TransINVEST Vilnius 1 - 3 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Hegelmann Litauen 2 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Home FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 1 Win

A Lyga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Banga 23 11 6 6 34 16 +18 39
7 Hegelmann Litauen 24 4 11 9 26 39 -13 23

Predictions

Banga to win
This prediction indicates that Banga has a 43.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.75 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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