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July 27, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen L D D L D D
FK Zalgiris Vilnius W W W D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 3 May 24, 2026
Hegelmann Litauen FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 - 0 March 22, 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 0 February 8, 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen 3 - 1 November 2, 2025
Hegelmann Litauen FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 - 2 August 24, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen 0 - 1 June 24, 2025

Hegelmann Litauen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Away Paide 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Home Paide 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Panevėžys 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Away Banga 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 17, 26 Home Džiugas Telšiai 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 1 Draw

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Home Petrovac 2 - 1 Win
Jul 9, 26 Away Petrovac 1 - 3 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Šiauliai 0 - 3 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Džiugas Telšiai 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Banga 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Panevėžys 3 - 0 Win

A Lyga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 21 9 5 7 30 23 +7 32
8 Hegelmann Litauen 20 3 11 6 20 29 -9 20

Predictions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win
This prediction indicates that FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a 48.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.83 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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