Eerste Divisie
Match Analysis
Helmond Sport
Heracles
Helmond Sport
W
W
L
D
L
D
Heracles
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | Helmond Sport | 2 - 0 | August 5, 2023 |
| Helmond Sport | Heracles | 0 - 1 | April 21, 2023 |
| Heracles | Helmond Sport | 2 - 0 | September 23, 2022 |
Helmond Sport Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Jong PSV | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | VVV Venlo | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Jong Ajax | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Waalwijk | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Roda | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | De Graafschap | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Heracles Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Jong AZ | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | De Graafschap | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | FC Eindhoven | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Jong Utrecht | 1 - 6 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Den Bosch | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | VVV Venlo | 3 - 4 | Win |
Eerste Divisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 18 |
| 12 | Helmond Sport | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.42% likelihood that both Helmond Sport and Heracles will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Heracles to win
This prediction indicates that Heracles has a 48.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.25 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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