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National League - North

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Hereford South Shields
Hereford W W W L W D
South Shields D W W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hereford South Shields 2 - 1 March 14, 2026
South Shields Hereford 2 - 1 October 18, 2025
South Shields Hereford 0 - 1 February 4, 2025
Hereford South Shields 3 - 0 August 10, 2024
Hereford South Shields 0 - 3 January 30, 2024
South Shields Hereford 0 - 0 October 7, 2023

Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Worksop Town 0 - 3 Win
Aug 18, 26 Home Radcliffe 3 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Marine 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Buxton 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Bromsgrove Sporting 0 - 1 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Shrewsbury 1 - 1 Draw

South Shields Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 18, 26 Away Morecambe 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Chorley 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Scarborough Athletic 0 - 1 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Gateshead 1 - 4 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Harrogate Town 1 - 2 Loss

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 South Shields 4 3 1 0 5 2 +3 10
6 Hereford 4 3 0 1 8 2 +6 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.72% likelihood that both Hereford and South Shields will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Hereford or South Shields to win
This prediction indicates that South Shields has a 41.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.74 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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