HNK Gorica vs FC St. Pauli Sunday 19th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

HNK Gorica FC St. Pauli

HNK Gorica W L W L L W

FC St. Pauli W W L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Zorya Luhansk	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	HNK Rijeka	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	NK Osijek	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	NK Slaven Belupo	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Dinamo Zagreb	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 27, 26	Home	Istra 1961	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Kickers Emden	1 - 3	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Altona 93	2 - 6	Win
May 16, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	2 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC St. Pauli has a 40.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.96 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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