Premier League
Match Analysis
Holywell
Caernarfon Town
Holywell
L
L
D
D
Caernarfon Town
L
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Holywell Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cardiff MET | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Mold Alexandra | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Caernarfon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Penybont | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | FC Levadia Tallinn | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Glentoran | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Penybont | 2 - 0 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.94% likelihood that both Holywell and Caernarfon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Caernarfon Town to win
This prediction indicates that Caernarfon Town has a 55.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.74 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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