Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Ilves
HJK helsinki
Ilves
D
W
L
L
W
W
HJK helsinki
W
L
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| HJK helsinki | Ilves | 2 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Ilves | HJK helsinki | 3 - 1 | October 30, 2025 |
| HJK helsinki | Ilves | 2 - 2 | September 29, 2025 |
| HJK helsinki | Ilves | 5 - 1 | August 11, 2025 |
| Ilves | HJK helsinki | 3 - 2 | April 5, 2025 |
| HJK helsinki | Ilves | 0 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 0 | Win |
HJK helsinki Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Motherwell | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | SJK | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Coleraine FC | 0 - 3 | Win |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HJK helsinki | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.46% likelihood that both Ilves and HJK helsinki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ilves or HJK helsinki to win
This prediction indicates that HJK helsinki has a 38.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.28 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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