Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
L
L
L
D
W
L
Lahti
W
W
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | Lahti | 1 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 5 - 0 | May 30, 2026 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 2 - 2 | June 29, 2024 |
| Ilves | Lahti | 0 - 0 | April 6, 2024 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 1 - 5 | October 21, 2023 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 3 - 2 | September 3, 2023 |
Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | HJK helsinki | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | VPS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Gnistan | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Lahti Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | VPS | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | SJK | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | KuPS | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Inter Turku | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Ilves | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lahti | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 | Ilves | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.44% likelihood that both Ilves and Lahti will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ilves to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 36.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.24 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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