Ilves vs Stjarnan Thursday 30th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ilves Stjarnan

Ilves W D L D L W

Stjarnan D L D W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Home	FC Differdange 03	3 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	FC Differdange 03	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	FF Jaro	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	SJK	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 23, 26	Away	KuPS	4 - 3	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Home	FF Jaro	5 - 0	Win

Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Home	Vikingur Gota	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 9, 26	Away	Vikingur Gota	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	FH hafnarfjordur	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	KA Akureyri	3 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Breidablik	4 - 4	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.57% likelihood that both Ilves and Stjarnan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ilves to win

This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 51.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.78 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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