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Veikkausliiga

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ilves Turku PS
Ilves L W L D W D
Turku PS W L L W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ilves Turku PS 2 - 0 March 25, 2023
Ilves Turku PS 4 - 0 September 27, 2020
Turku PS Ilves 0 - 1 July 7, 2020
Ilves Turku PS 2 - 0 August 25, 2018
Turku PS Ilves 1 - 3 July 30, 2018
Ilves Turku PS 2 - 0 May 26, 2018

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Lahti 5 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Gnistan 2 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Home Inter Turku 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Away HJK helsinki 2 - 2 Draw
May 8, 26 Home AC Oulu 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away SJK 1 - 1 Draw

Turku PS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home VPS 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Inter Turku 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away AC Oulu 1 - 0 Loss
May 8, 26 Home HJK helsinki 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away FF Jaro 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 24, 26 Home Gnistan 1 - 1 Draw

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Turku PS 9 4 3 2 11 8 +3 15
9 Ilves 10 2 3 5 13 21 -8 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.79% likelihood that both Ilves and Turku PS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ilves or Turku PS to win
This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 40.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.89 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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