Primera A
Match Analysis
Independiente Medellin
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
D
L
W
W
W
L
Santa Fe
W
L
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 1 | March 23, 2026 |
| Independiente Medellin | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | October 21, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Independiente Medellin | 0 - 3 | October 2, 2025 |
| Independiente Medellin | Santa Fe | 1 - 2 | September 24, 2025 |
| Independiente Medellin | Santa Fe | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Independiente Medellin | 0 - 0 | June 25, 2025 |
Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Bucaramanga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Chico | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Santa Fe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 3, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 3 - 2 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Fe | 31 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 47 | 33 | +14 | 48 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 42 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Independiente Medellin to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 45.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.68 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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