Primera División
Match Analysis
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
Independiente Petrolero
L
L
W
D
D
W
Aurora
D
L
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | 2 - 3 | November 3, 2025 |
| Independiente Petrolero | Aurora | 2 - 4 | May 27, 2025 |
| Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | 2 - 0 | October 31, 2024 |
| Independiente Petrolero | Aurora | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | 2 - 3 | April 19, 2024 |
| Independiente Petrolero | Aurora | 0 - 1 | April 15, 2024 |
Independiente Petrolero Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | ABB | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Real Tomayapo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Blooming | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Always Ready | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 1, 26 | Away | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Universitario de Vinto | 2 - 1 | Win |
Aurora Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Oriente Petrolero | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Nacional Potosí | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 2, 26 | Away | Universitario de Vinto | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Real Tomayapo | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Real Oruro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Guabirá | 4 - 2 | Win |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aurora | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.17% likelihood that both Independiente Petrolero and Aurora will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Independiente Petrolero to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Petrolero has a 42.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.85 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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