Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
D
W
W
W
W
W
Toronto FC
D
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | Inter Miami | 2 - 4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Toronto FC | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| Inter Miami | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2025 |
| Toronto FC | Inter Miami | 0 - 1 | October 5, 2024 |
| Inter Miami | Toronto FC | 3 - 1 | July 17, 2024 |
| Inter Miami | Toronto FC | 4 - 0 | September 20, 2023 |
Inter Miami Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | CF Montreal | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 6 - 4 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 3 - 5 | Win |
Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | DC United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | CF Montreal | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | +13 | 38 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.6% likelihood that both Inter Miami and Toronto FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Inter Miami to win
This prediction indicates that Inter Miami has a 75.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.56 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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