Serie A
Match Analysis
Inter
Parma
Inter
W
D
W
L
W
W
Parma
W
L
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Inter carries a clear quality gap in their favor over Parma, with stronger recent form and a history of dominance in their past meetings. The model predicts an Inter home win with a 79% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for over 1.5 goals (71%) and over 2.5 goals (70%), both of which align with Inter's recent attacking strength, even though the market is less confident about over 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | Parma | 2 - 0 | May 3, 2026 |
| Parma | Inter | 0 - 2 | January 7, 2026 |
| Parma | Inter | 2 - 2 | April 5, 2025 |
| Inter | Parma | 3 - 1 | December 6, 2024 |
| Inter | Parma | 1 - 1 | January 10, 2023 |
| Parma | Inter | 0 - 2 | August 8, 2021 |
Inter Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 26 | Home | Lumezzane | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | AS Roma | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Udinese | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Napoli | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | Win |
Parma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Genoa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | como | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Monza | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Cremonese | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Predictions
Inter to win
This prediction indicates that Inter has a 78.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 11.33 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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