Ituano vs Barra Sunday 09th August 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Ituano Barra

Ituano L L D D D L

Barra L W L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Ferroviária	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Santa Cruz	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Figueirense	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	AO Itabaiana	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Caxias	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Santa Cruz	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Confiança	1 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Floresta	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Amazonas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 15, 26	Away	Ferroviária	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Home	Brusque	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Ituano	14	5	4	5	16	16	0	19
18	Barra	14	3	6	5	17	16	+1	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ituano has a 34.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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