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Serie C logo

Serie C

July 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ypiranga-RS Barra
Ypiranga-RS W D W D L L
Barra W L D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ypiranga-RS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Home Paysandu 1 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Santa Cruz 0 - 1 Win
Jun 15, 26 Home Botafogo PB 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 2 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Volta Redonda 2 - 1 Loss

Barra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Confiança 1 - 2 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away Floresta 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Amazonas 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 15, 26 Away Ferroviária 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 1, 26 Home Brusque 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Guarani Campinas 0 - 2 Loss

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Ypiranga-RS 13 5 3 5 16 17 -1 18
16 Barra 13 3 6 4 16 14 +2 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ypiranga-RS to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ypiranga-RS has a 34.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.86 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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