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Primera B Metropolitana

July 15, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ituzaingó San Martín Burzaco
Ituzaingó D L L D L W
San Martín Burzaco D D D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Martín Burzaco Ituzaingó 3 - 0 March 3, 2026
Ituzaingó San Martín Burzaco 3 - 1 October 3, 2021
San Martín Burzaco Ituzaingó 3 - 0 May 15, 2021
Ituzaingó San Martín Burzaco 1 - 1 December 13, 2020
Ituzaingó San Martín Burzaco 1 - 1 January 31, 2020
San Martín Burzaco Ituzaingó 2 - 0 August 2, 2019

Ituzaingó Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Villa San Carlos 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Deportivo Armenio 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 19, 26 Home Liniers 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Flandria 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Real Pilar 2 - 0 Win

San Martín Burzaco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Villa San Carlos 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home Liniers 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Real Pilar 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away UAI Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Home Villa Dalmine 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Excursionistas 2 - 0 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 San Martín Burzaco 24 7 11 6 23 20 +3 32
22 Ituzaingó 24 1 7 16 17 41 -24 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

San Martín Burzaco to win
This prediction indicates that San Martín Burzaco has a 44.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.85 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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