Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu Sunday 18th October 2026 07:00 AM football predictions.

J2 League

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Iwaki View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 20 hours ago VS

Ventforet Kofu View team ›

Match Analysis

Iwaki Ventforet Kofu

Iwaki W L L L W W

Ventforet Kofu W L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Iwaki with a modest quality edge over Ventforet Kofu, and Iwaki are in moderate recent form compared to Ventforet Kofu's poor form. Despite Ventforet Kofu's historical dominance in recent meetings, the model predicts a home win with a 55% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. The model also sees the game ending with fewer than 2.5 goals (50% probability for 'over'), aligning closely with the market's even split on this outcome.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Iwaki	Ventforet Kofu	0 - 1	J2 League	May 9, 2026
Ventforet Kofu	Iwaki	0 - 1	J2 League	March 14, 2026
Iwaki	Ventforet Kofu	2 - 3	J2 League	September 27, 2025
Ventforet Kofu	Iwaki	1 - 0	J2 League	April 5, 2025
Iwaki	Ventforet Kofu	1 - 1	J2 League	June 16, 2024
Ventforet Kofu	Iwaki	1 - 1	J2 League	March 20, 2024

Iwaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Blaublitz Akita	J2 League	1 - 0	Win
Oct 7, 26	Away	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Emperor Cup	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 4, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	J2 League	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Vegalta Sendai	J2 League	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Sagan Tosu	J2 League	1 - 3	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Yokohama FC	J2 League	2 - 0	Win

Ventforet Kofu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Tochigi City	J2 League	2 - 1	Win
Oct 3, 26	Home	Kataller Toyama	J2 League	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Away	Omiya Ardija	J2 League	5 - 1	Loss
Sep 23, 26	Away	Kashima	Emperor Cup	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Tokushima Vortis	J2 League	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Jubilo Iwata	J2 League	0 - 1	Loss

J2 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Ventforet Kofu	30	13	4	13	31	34	-3	43
13	Iwaki	30	11	7	12	36	38	-2	40

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	31	19	9	3	+28	66
2	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	31	19	7	5	+24	64
3	Kataller Toyama	31	16	10	5	+23	58
4	Albirex Niigata	31	15	9	7	0	54
5	Omiya Ardija	31	15	7	9	+20	52
6	Yokohama FC	31	15	6	10	+15	51
7	Tokushima Vortis	31	15	5	11	+16	50
8	Blaublitz Akita	31	14	7	10	+7	49
9	Shonan Bellmare	31	12	11	8	+7	47
10	Sagan Tosu	31	13	8	10	+7	47
11	Fujieda MYFC	31	10	15	6	+7	45
12	Ventforet Kofu	30	13	4	13	-3	43
13	Oita Trinita	31	11	9	11	+8	42
14	Consadole Sapporo	31	12	6	13	-2	42
15	Iwaki	30	11	7	12	-2	40
16	Jubilo Iwata	31	9	10	12	-8	37
17	Montedio Yamagata	31	10	4	17	-4	34
18	Tochigi City	31	9	7	15	-12	34
19	Kagoshima United	20	9	6	5	+10	33
20	FC Gifu	20	9	4	7	-1	31
21	Imabari	31	8	7	16	-13	31
22	Sagamihara	20	8	6	6	+1	30
23	Vanraure Hachinohe	31	7	9	15	-16	30
24	Kochi United	20	8	5	7	+1	29
25	Roasso Kumamoto	20	9	2	9	-2	29
26	Ehime FC	20	8	3	9	+5	27
27	Renofa Yamaguchi	20	7	6	7	+1	27
28	Gainare Tottori	20	7	6	7	-2	27
29	Matsumoto Yamaga	20	6	7	7	+8	25
30	Kanazawa	20	6	7	7	-5	25
31	Nara Club	20	6	5	9	-7	23
32	Thespakusatsu Gunma	20	6	4	10	-14	22
33	Kamatamare Sanuki	20	6	4	10	-16	22
34	Biwako Shiga	20	6	3	11	-15	21
35	Fukushima United	20	5	5	10	-12	20
36	Osaka	20	3	10	7	-3	19
37	Tochigi SC	20	4	7	9	-5	19
38	FC Ryukyu	20	3	8	9	-11	17
39	Kitakyushu	20	4	4	12	-17	16
40	Parceiro Nagano	20	3	7	10	-18	16

Predictions

Iwaki to win

This prediction indicates that Iwaki has a 54.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.29 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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