Jarosław vs Tomasovia Tomaszów Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Jarosław Tomasovia Tomaszów

Jarosław W W W L L

Tomasovia Tomaszów W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Jarosław	Tomasovia Tomaszów	2 - 1	February 8, 2025

Jarosław Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 18, 25	Home	Hetman Zamosc	5 - 2	Win
Feb 12, 25	Home	Sokół Sieniawa	4 - 2	Win
Feb 8, 25	Home	Tomasovia Tomaszów	2 - 1	Win
Jan 26, 25	Away	Puszcza Niepołomice	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 17, 25	Away	Wiązownica	3 - 1	Loss

Tomasovia Tomaszów Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 15, 25	Away	Lewart	2 - 4	Win
Feb 8, 25	Away	Jarosław	2 - 1	Loss
Jan 29, 25	Away	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3 - 3	Draw
Jan 25, 25	Away	Wiązownica	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.85% likelihood that both Jarosław and Tomasovia Tomaszów will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Jarosław to win

This prediction indicates that Jarosław has a 45.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 84.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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