Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap Monday 19th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Eerste Divisie

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Jong Ajax View team ›

Oct. 19, 2026 19 hours from now VS

De Graafschap View team ›

New signing: M. Diemers joined De Graafschap from Cambuur on 23 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

Jong Ajax De Graafschap

Jong Ajax L D L L W D

De Graafschap W D W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
De Graafschap	Jong Ajax	4 - 0	Eerste Divisie	February 6, 2026
Jong Ajax	De Graafschap	2 - 2	Eerste Divisie	October 3, 2025
De Graafschap	Jong Ajax	2 - 0	Eerste Divisie	April 19, 2025
Jong Ajax	De Graafschap	2 - 0	Eerste Divisie	December 9, 2024
De Graafschap	Jong Ajax	0 - 2	Eerste Divisie	March 11, 2024
Jong Ajax	De Graafschap	1 - 2	Eerste Divisie	August 21, 2023

Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Home	VVV Venlo	Eerste Divisie	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Home	Roda	Eerste Divisie	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 14, 26	Away	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	6 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Waalwijk	Eerste Divisie	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Almere City FC	Eerste Divisie	0 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Jong PSV	Eerste Divisie	1 - 1	Draw

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Home	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	2 - 1	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	FC Eindhoven	Eerste Divisie	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Home	Den Bosch	Eerste Divisie	1 - 0	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	NAC Breda	Eerste Divisie	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Emmen	Eerste Divisie	1 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Heracles	Eerste Divisie	5 - 0	Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	-10	11
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13	25	-12	8

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	+19	25
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	+14	22
3	VVV Venlo	11	7	1	3	+12	22
4	Emmen	11	7	1	3	+5	22
5	NAC Breda	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Roda	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	MVV	10	5	1	4	-7	16
9	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	+5	15
10	Jong AZ	11	4	2	5	+4	14
11	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	-2	13
14	FC OSS	11	4	0	7	-1	12
15	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	-10	11
17	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	-5	9
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	-12	8
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	-14	8
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	-7	7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.2% likelihood that both Jong Ajax and De Graafschap will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

De Graafschap to win

This prediction indicates that De Graafschap has a 46.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.76 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 75.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Eerste Divisie

Jong Utrecht vs Roda 19 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Jong PSV vs Dordrecht 19 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Eerste Divisie Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

De Graafschap to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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