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Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Jubilo Iwata Tokushima Vortis
Jubilo Iwata D D W L L W
Tokushima Vortis W W D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tokushima Vortis Jubilo Iwata 1 - 1 December 7, 2025
Jubilo Iwata Tokushima Vortis 0 - 4 October 18, 2025
Tokushima Vortis Jubilo Iwata 1 - 1 May 25, 2025
Tokushima Vortis Jubilo Iwata 0 - 3 October 22, 2023
Jubilo Iwata Tokushima Vortis 2 - 3 April 29, 2023
Tokushima Vortis Jubilo Iwata 3 - 1 November 4, 2020

Jubilo Iwata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Osaka 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Tochigi City 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 0 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Fukushima United 4 - 2 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Ventforet Kofu 1 - 2 Win

Tokushima Vortis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Iwaki 2 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Imabari 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Kataller Toyama 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Nara Club 1 - 2 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 1 - 0 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Tokushima Vortis 19 10 3 6 39 23 +16 33
25 Jubilo Iwata 20 5 8 7 19 26 -7 23

Predictions

Jubilo Iwata to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Jubilo Iwata has a 35.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.10 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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